Scouting Report
Martin Hanzal holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Arnott on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Arnott 50.3% vs Hanzal 51.9% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hanzal 57.1%
Defensive zone
Hanzal 78.9%
Neutral zone
Hanzal 62.2%
Result
Martin Hanzal favored at 60.2%
39.8%
60.2%
Arnott
Hanzal
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Arnott
Hanzal
Last 5: Arnott 4-1 Hanzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Arnott
Hanzal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Arnott
3
0
Arnott
Hanzal
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Arnott
Hanzal
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (667)
52.2% (782)
-1.7%
Power Play
49.4% (89)
55.4% (202)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (5)
45.6% (103)
+14.4%
On penalty kill, Arnott has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hanzal shoots left. Arnott is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (548).
Arnott shoots right. Hanzal is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (400).
Home / Away
Arnott
Hanzal
Home
53.1% (431)
55.2% (580)
Away
46.7% (338)
48.5% (517)
By Period
Arnott
Hanzal
P1
46.9%
55.3%
P2
52.9%
51.2%
P3
50.4%
49.0%
OT
100.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Arnott
50.0%▬
50.0%
50.3%
Hanzal
58.0%▬
57.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2012 | 2 | 05:26 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Apr 6, 2012 | 1 | 19:28 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 2 | 19:39 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Dec 23, 2011 | 2 | 08:08 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 23, 2011 | 2 | 07:56 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |