Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Hanzal on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 52.1% vs Hanzal 47.2% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hanzal 66.7%
Defensive zone
Hanzal 62.0%
Neutral zone
Hanzal 63.9%
Result
Martin Hanzal favored at 64.0%
36.0%
64.0%
Carter
Hanzal
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Carter
Hanzal
Last 8: Carter 3-5 Hanzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hanzal
1
2
Carter
Hanzal
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hanzal
1
3
Carter
Hanzal
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
1
0
Carter
Hanzal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Hanzal
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (289)
47.4% (502)
+5.5%
Power Play
56.5% (69)
42.9% (119)
+13.6%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (26)
56.3% (16)
-17.8%
On penalty kill, Hanzal has a +17.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hanzal shoots left. Carter is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (302).
Carter shoots right. Hanzal is 48.6% vs right-shot opponents (146).
Home / Away
Carter
Hanzal
Home
56.4% (181)
44.8% (330)
Away
49.3% (203)
48.9% (307)
By Period
Carter
Hanzal
P1
56.6%
47.8%
P2
54.0%
47.1%
P3
47.2%
46.0%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
56.6%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
52.6%
Hanzal
58.0%▬
57.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2013 | 1 | 18:54 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 19, 2013 | 3 | 17:18 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Mar 19, 2013 | 3 | 09:12 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Mar 19, 2013 | 1 | 11:25 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 18, 2013 | 3 | 18:10 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 2 | 18:50 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 1 | 13:59 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Jan 26, 2013 | 2 | 15:41 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |