Scouting Report
Martin Hanzal holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Hanzal on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 52.4% vs Hanzal 55.6% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 70.7%
Defensive zone
Carter 51.7%
Neutral zone
Carter 57.2%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 56.9%
56.9%
43.1%
Carter
Hanzal
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Carter
Hanzal
Last 8: Carter 1-7 Hanzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hanzal
0
1
Carter
Hanzal
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hanzal
0
3
Carter
Hanzal
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hanzal
1
3
Carter
Hanzal
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Hanzal
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (934)
57.5% (504)
-6.0%
Power Play
58.5% (164)
58.8% (51)
-0.3%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (95)
45.6% (57)
+7.0%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hanzal shoots left. Carter is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (810).
Carter shoots right. Hanzal is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (281).
Home / Away
Carter
Hanzal
Home
55.1% (554)
59.7% (288)
Away
50.4% (639)
53.7% (324)
By Period
Carter
Hanzal
P1
50.8%
57.1%
P2
52.1%
56.5%
P3
54.8%
55.2%
OT
50.0%
71.4%
Final 5 min
51.7%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
52.6%
Hanzal
58.0%▬
57.0%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 20, 2014 | 2 | 03:13 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 2 | 06:35 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 1 | 09:45 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 2 | 13:45 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 2 | 01:53 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 1 | 07:44 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |