Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Hanzal on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Thornton wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Hanzal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 55.6% vs Hanzal 54.1% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Hanzal leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Hanzal 54.8%
Defensive zone
Hanzal 57.2%
Neutral zone
Hanzal 53.5%
Result
Martin Hanzal favored at 55.5%
44.5%
55.5%
Thornton
Hanzal
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Thornton
Hanzal
Last 10: Thornton 3-7 Hanzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Thornton
Hanzal
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hanzal
1
3
Thornton
Hanzal
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hanzal
0
2
Thornton
Hanzal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Hanzal
Edge
Even Strength
55.1% (836)
54.1% (846)
+1.0%
Power Play
60.8% (181)
62.2% (180)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
56.1% (82)
39.7% (73)
+16.4%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +16.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hanzal shoots left. Thornton is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (585).
Thornton shoots left. Hanzal is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (659).
Home / Away
Thornton
Hanzal
Home
60.4% (528)
56.3% (528)
Away
52.2% (571)
52.9% (571)
By Period
Thornton
Hanzal
P1
58.1%
58.2%
P2
55.3%
49.5%
P3
55.0%
56.3%
OT
55.2%
52.9%
Final 5 min
54.1%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
56.1%
Hanzal
58.0%▬
57.0%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2013 | 2 | 15:26 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 27, 2013 | 2 | 09:45 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 27, 2013 | 2 | 09:28 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 27, 2013 | 1 | 19:42 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 27, 2013 | 1 | 16:31 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 27, 2013 | 1 | 00:34 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Nov 2, 2013 | 3 | 00:41 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 5, 2013 | 3 | 18:47 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Oct 5, 2013 | 3 | 18:29 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Oct 5, 2013 | 2 | 05:53 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |