Scouting Report
Martin Hanzal holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Hanzal on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Ward wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Hanzal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ward 48.4% vs Hanzal 55.4% (-7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hanzal 59.7%
Defensive zone
Ward 82.3%
Neutral zone
Ward 61.9%
Result
Joel Ward favored at 56.1%
56.1%
43.9%
Ward
Hanzal
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Ward
Hanzal
Last 8: Ward 3-5 Hanzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hanzal
1
4
Ward
Hanzal
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ward
2
1
Ward
Hanzal
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ward
Hanzal
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (353)
54.9% (754)
-5.6%
Power Play
69.0% (42)
61.4% (228)
+7.6%
Penalty Kill
34.7% (98)
49.2% (65)
-14.5%
On penalty kill, Hanzal has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hanzal shoots left. Ward is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (338).
Ward shoots right. Hanzal is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (410).
Home / Away
Ward
Hanzal
Home
48.4% (219)
58.1% (539)
Away
47.8% (274)
53.7% (508)
By Period
Ward
Hanzal
P1
43.0%
56.5%
P2
51.4%
57.9%
P3
50.0%
53.6%
OT
33.3%
57.1%
Final 5 min
41.8%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ward
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.1%
Hanzal
58.0%▬
57.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2016 | 2 | 08:55 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Mar 20, 2016 | 1 | 06:31 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Mar 17, 2016 | 3 | 19:49 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Mar 17, 2016 | 3 | 19:42 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Mar 17, 2016 | 2 | 12:02 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Feb 13, 2016 | 1 | 01:30 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 1 | 18:49 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 1 | 11:24 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |