Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings). Toews wins 61.0% vs left-shot opponents — Hanzal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 58.6% vs Hanzal 51.9% (+7.3%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 17-2 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 92.0%
Defensive zone
Toews 75.1%
Neutral zone
Toews 85.6%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 86.6%
86.6%
13.4%
Toews
Hanzal
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
2
(19 meetings)
17
2
Toews
Hanzal
Last 10: Toews 9-1 Hanzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
8
0
Toews
Hanzal
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
3
0
Toews
Hanzal
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
6
2
Toews
Hanzal
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Hanzal
Edge
Even Strength
58.5% (775)
52.2% (782)
+6.3%
Power Play
64.9% (225)
55.4% (202)
+9.5%
Penalty Kill
55.8% (120)
45.6% (103)
+10.2%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hanzal shoots left. Toews is 61.0% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Toews shoots left. Hanzal is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (697).
Home / Away
Toews
Hanzal
Home
63.0% (567)
55.2% (580)
Away
55.8% (570)
48.5% (517)
By Period
Toews
Hanzal
P1
59.6%
55.3%
P2
58.2%
51.2%
P3
60.7%
49.0%
OT
52.4%
60.0%
Final 5 min
59.0%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
52.0%▼
58.0%
59.4%
Hanzal
58.0%▬
57.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2012 | 3 | 03:14 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 11, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 5, 2011 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 5, 2011 | 2 | 04:19 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 5, 2011 | 1 | 13:38 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 29, 2011 | 3 | 10:07 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 29, 2011 | 3 | 07:55 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 29, 2011 | 3 | 07:37 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Nov 29, 2011 | 3 | 04:29 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 29, 2011 | 2 | 19:53 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 29, 2011 | 2 | 18:05 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 29, 2011 | 2 | 02:50 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Oct 18, 2011 | 3 | 17:29 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 18, 2011 | 3 | 13:46 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 18, 2011 | 3 | 13:38 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 18, 2011 | 2 | 09:35 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 18, 2011 | 2 | 06:55 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 18, 2011 | 2 | 05:24 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 18, 2011 | 1 | 14:26 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |