Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.5% vs 56.5%). Toews wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Hanzal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 56.2% vs Hanzal 55.6% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 80.0%
Defensive zone
Hanzal 67.5%
Neutral zone
Toews 50.7%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 58.8%
58.8%
41.2%
Toews
Hanzal
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Toews
Hanzal
Last 5: Toews 4-1 Hanzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
2
0
Toews
Hanzal
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hanzal
0
1
Toews
Hanzal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
2
0
Toews
Hanzal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Hanzal
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (1,229)
57.5% (504)
-2.6%
Power Play
62.7% (354)
58.8% (51)
+3.9%
Penalty Kill
54.3% (92)
45.6% (57)
+8.7%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hanzal shoots left. Toews is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,050).
Toews shoots left. Hanzal is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (331).
Home / Away
Toews
Hanzal
Home
57.6% (838)
59.7% (288)
Away
55.4% (837)
53.7% (324)
By Period
Toews
Hanzal
P1
58.0%
57.1%
P2
54.4%
56.5%
P3
56.7%
55.2%
OT
64.5%
71.4%
Final 5 min
53.3%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
56.5%
Hanzal
58.0%▬
57.0%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2015 | 3 | 07:51 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 20, 2015 | 2 | 13:53 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 20, 2015 | 1 | 09:11 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Jan 20, 2015 | 1 | 02:38 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 20, 2015 | 1 | 02:35 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |