Scouting Report
Martin Hanzal holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Hanzal on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Toews wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Hanzal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 56.0% vs Hanzal 54.0% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 53.5%
Defensive zone
Hanzal 63.5%
Neutral zone
Hanzal 59.0%
Result
Martin Hanzal favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Toews
Hanzal
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Toews
Hanzal
Last 6: Toews 2-4 Hanzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hanzal
1
2
Toews
Hanzal
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Toews
Hanzal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hanzal
0
1
Toews
Hanzal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Hanzal
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (1,310)
72.5% (51)
-16.0%
Power Play
59.7% (325)
44.4% (9)
+15.3%
Penalty Kill
51.0% (245)
25.0% (16)
+26.0%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +26.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hanzal shoots left. Toews is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,218).
Toews shoots left. Hanzal is 58.1% vs left-shot opponents (43).
Home / Away
Toews
Hanzal
Home
56.6% (927)
64.1% (39)
Away
56.0% (953)
54.1% (37)
By Period
Toews
Hanzal
P1
56.3%
51.9%
P2
55.8%
61.9%
P3
57.3%
64.3%
Final 5 min
57.3%
60.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
56.3%
Hanzal
58.0%▬
57.0%
59.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2018 | 3 | 18:43 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 3 | 17:08 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 3 | 08:13 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 2 | 14:32 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 1 | 16:17 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 20, 2018 | 1 | 06:07 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |