Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Hanzal wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hanzal 47.2% vs Duchene 54.2% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 12-6 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Hanzal 80.2%
Defensive zone
Hanzal 59.0%
Neutral zone
Hanzal 64.4%
Result
Martin Hanzal favored at 64.6%
64.6%
35.4%
Hanzal
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
12
(18 meetings)
6
12
Hanzal
Duchene
Last 10: Hanzal 4-6 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
2
Hanzal
Duchene
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
7
Hanzal
Duchene
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hanzal
4
3
Hanzal
Duchene
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hanzal
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (502)
56.8% (706)
-9.4%
Power Play
42.9% (119)
56.1% (57)
-13.2%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (16)
42.3% (130)
+14.0%
On penalty kill, Hanzal has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Hanzal is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (491).
Hanzal shoots left. Duchene is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (635).
Home / Away
Hanzal
Duchene
Home
44.8% (330)
56.6% (488)
Away
48.9% (307)
52.3% (405)
By Period
Hanzal
Duchene
P1
47.8%
52.0%
P2
47.1%
53.7%
P3
46.0%
58.5%
OT
40.0%
46.7%
Final 5 min
43.5%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hanzal
58.0%▬
57.0%
46.8%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2013 | 1 | 03:17 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Apr 6, 2013 | 3 | 00:34 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 6, 2013 | 2 | 02:18 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 6, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Apr 6, 2013 | 1 | 04:14 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 11, 2013 | OT | 02:21 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 11, 2013 | 3 | 14:50 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 11, 2013 | 3 | 12:43 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Feb 11, 2013 | 3 | 05:46 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 11, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Feb 11, 2013 | 2 | 17:59 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 11, 2013 | 2 | 17:00 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Feb 11, 2013 | 2 | 09:26 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 11, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Feb 11, 2013 | 1 | 17:34 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 11, 2013 | 1 | 13:06 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 11, 2013 | 1 | 05:03 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 11, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |