Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.4% vs 56.9%). Look for Hanzal on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Hanzal wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Hendricks shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hanzal 56.0% vs Hendricks 54.8% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hanzal 57.7%
Defensive zone
Hendricks 53.3%
Neutral zone
Hanzal 64.5%
Result
Martin Hanzal favored at 54.5%
54.5%
45.5%
Hanzal
Hendricks
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Hanzal
Hendricks
Last 7: Hanzal 4-3 Hendricks
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hanzal
4
1
Hanzal
Hendricks
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hendricks
0
2
Hanzal
Hendricks
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hanzal
Hendricks
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (1,059)
60.9% (184)
-3.8%
Power Play
60.0% (175)
100.0% (1)
-40.0%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (126)
40.4% (47)
+4.8%
On power play, Hendricks has a +40.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hendricks shoots left. Hanzal is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (897).
Hanzal shoots left. Hendricks is 59.4% vs left-shot opponents (133).
Home / Away
Hanzal
Hendricks
Home
57.6% (682)
62.3% (114)
Away
55.2% (678)
51.7% (118)
By Period
Hanzal
Hendricks
P1
57.8%
51.3%
P2
57.8%
63.0%
P3
53.7%
56.2%
Final 5 min
53.2%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hanzal
58.0%▬
57.0%
56.4%
Hendricks
60.0%▲
50.5%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2017 | 1 | 13:08 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 21, 2016 | 2 | 17:07 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 21, 2016 | 1 | 15:43 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Nov 27, 2016 | 3 | 14:25 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Nov 27, 2016 | 2 | 18:51 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Nov 27, 2016 | 2 | 14:47 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Nov 27, 2016 | 2 | 14:19 | Offensive | Matt Hendricks |