Scouting Report
Martin Hanzal holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Talbot on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Hanzal wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Talbot shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hanzal 54.1% vs Talbot 46.2% (+10.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hanzal 83.5%
Defensive zone
Hanzal 53.8%
Neutral zone
Hanzal 68.4%
Result
Martin Hanzal favored at 65.7%
65.7%
34.3%
Hanzal
Talbot
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Hanzal
Talbot
Last 5: Hanzal 3-2 Talbot
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hanzal
2
0
Hanzal
Talbot
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Talbot
1
2
Hanzal
Talbot
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hanzal
Talbot
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (846)
44.9% (107)
+9.2%
Power Play
62.2% (180)
100.0% (1)
-37.8%
Penalty Kill
39.7% (73)
43.6% (117)
-3.9%
On power play, Talbot has a +37.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Talbot shoots left. Hanzal is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (659).
Hanzal shoots left. Talbot is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (123).
Home / Away
Hanzal
Talbot
Home
56.3% (528)
45.5% (112)
Away
52.9% (571)
43.4% (113)
By Period
Hanzal
Talbot
P1
58.2%
42.2%
P2
49.5%
48.3%
P3
56.3%
43.7%
OT
52.9%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.7%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hanzal
58.0%▬
57.0%
54.5%
Talbot
46.0%▲
43.5%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2014 | 1 | 11:10 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 3 | 09:08 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Nov 21, 2013 | 1 | 04:33 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Oct 11, 2013 | 3 | 18:12 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Oct 11, 2013 | 2 | 19:34 | Defensive | Max Talbot |