Scouting Report
Martin Hanzal holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Chaput on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Hanzal wins 57.1% vs left-shot opponents — Chaput shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hanzal 55.6% vs Chaput 49.0% (+7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Chaput 65.4%
Defensive zone
Chaput 64.8%
Neutral zone
Chaput 63.7%
Result
Michael Chaput favored at 64.7%
35.3%
64.7%
Hanzal
Chaput
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Hanzal
Chaput
Last 8: Hanzal 3-5 Chaput
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hanzal
2
0
Hanzal
Chaput
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Chaput
1
3
Hanzal
Chaput
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Chaput
0
2
Hanzal
Chaput
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hanzal
Chaput
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (504)
48.4% (273)
+9.1%
Power Play
58.8% (51)
50.0% (2)
+8.8%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (57)
52.6% (19)
-7.0%
On even strength, Hanzal has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Chaput shoots left. Hanzal is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (331).
Hanzal shoots left. Chaput is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (186).
Home / Away
Hanzal
Chaput
Home
59.7% (288)
47.0% (132)
Away
53.7% (324)
50.0% (162)
By Period
Hanzal
Chaput
P1
57.1%
41.8%
P2
56.5%
54.4%
P3
55.2%
47.5%
Final 5 min
51.0%
61.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hanzal
58.0%▬
57.0%
56.5%
Chaput
56.0%▲
46.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2015 | 3 | 16:06 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Jan 3, 2015 | 3 | 10:02 | Neutral | Michael Chaput |
| Jan 3, 2015 | 3 | 09:44 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Jan 3, 2015 | 3 | 08:08 | Defensive | Michael Chaput |
| Jan 3, 2015 | 3 | 08:02 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Jan 3, 2015 | 3 | 03:37 | Neutral | Michael Chaput |
| Jan 3, 2015 | 2 | 18:57 | Defensive | Michael Chaput |
| Jan 3, 2015 | 1 | 10:38 | Defensive | Michael Chaput |