Scouting Report
Martin Hanzal holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Chaput on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Hanzal wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Chaput shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hanzal 56.0% vs Chaput 52.2% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Chaput 62.4%
Defensive zone
Chaput 56.5%
Neutral zone
Chaput 58.7%
Result
Michael Chaput favored at 61.2%
38.8%
61.2%
Hanzal
Chaput
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Hanzal
Chaput
Last 5: Hanzal 2-3 Chaput
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Chaput
1
3
Hanzal
Chaput
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hanzal
1
0
Hanzal
Chaput
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hanzal
Chaput
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (1,059)
52.7% (374)
+4.4%
Power Play
60.0% (175)
62.5% (8)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (126)
33.3% (3)
+11.9%
On penalty kill, Hanzal has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Chaput shoots left. Hanzal is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (897).
Hanzal shoots left. Chaput is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (261).
Home / Away
Hanzal
Chaput
Home
57.6% (682)
58.4% (178)
Away
55.2% (678)
47.8% (207)
By Period
Hanzal
Chaput
P1
57.8%
52.3%
P2
57.8%
49.6%
P3
53.7%
56.9%
Final 5 min
53.2%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hanzal
58.0%▬
57.0%
56.4%
Chaput
56.0%▲
46.5%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2016 | 3 | 17:40 | Offensive | Michael Chaput |
| Nov 23, 2016 | 3 | 14:30 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 3 | 17:12 | Offensive | Michael Chaput |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 3 | 13:57 | Offensive | Michael Chaput |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 2 | 06:26 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |