Scouting Report
Martin Hanzal holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Hanzal on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Hanzal wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Santorelli shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hanzal 55.4% vs Santorelli 48.4% (+8.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hanzal 62.9%
Defensive zone
Hanzal 62.3%
Neutral zone
Hanzal 68.7%
Result
Martin Hanzal favored at 65.2%
65.2%
34.8%
Hanzal
Santorelli
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Hanzal
Santorelli
Last 5: Hanzal 3-2 Santorelli
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hanzal
2
1
Hanzal
Santorelli
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Hanzal
Santorelli
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hanzal
Santorelli
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (754)
47.0% (151)
+7.9%
Power Play
61.4% (228)
57.1% (7)
+4.3%
On even strength, Hanzal has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Santorelli shoots right. Hanzal is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (410).
Hanzal shoots left. Santorelli is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (113).
Home / Away
Hanzal
Santorelli
Home
58.1% (539)
48.6% (70)
Away
53.7% (508)
46.6% (88)
By Period
Hanzal
Santorelli
P1
56.5%
57.6%
P2
57.9%
44.6%
P3
53.6%
33.3%
OT
57.1%
100.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
60.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hanzal
58.0%▬
57.0%
56.0%
Santorelli
40.0%▼
46.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2016 | 3 | 04:00 | Neutral | Mike Santorelli |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 2 | 06:49 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 3 | 13:21 | Offensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Nov 9, 2015 | 1 | 11:16 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Nov 9, 2015 | 1 | 10:53 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |