Scouting Report
Martin Hanzal holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Hanzal on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Hanzal wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hanzal 56.0% vs Koivu 54.9% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hanzal 66.9%
Defensive zone
Koivu 53.6%
Neutral zone
Hanzal 62.6%
Result
Martin Hanzal favored at 61.8%
61.8%
38.2%
Hanzal
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Hanzal
Koivu
Last 9: Hanzal 6-3 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hanzal
Koivu
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hanzal
1
0
Hanzal
Koivu
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hanzal
4
2
Hanzal
Koivu
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hanzal
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (1,059)
55.3% (1,219)
+1.8%
Power Play
60.0% (175)
63.5% (200)
-3.5%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (126)
48.9% (280)
-3.7%
On penalty kill, Koivu has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Hanzal is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (897).
Hanzal shoots left. Koivu is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,080).
Home / Away
Hanzal
Koivu
Home
57.6% (682)
55.6% (846)
Away
55.2% (678)
54.9% (853)
By Period
Hanzal
Koivu
P1
57.8%
57.4%
P2
57.8%
55.5%
P3
53.7%
52.6%
OT
55.6%
62.5%
Final 5 min
53.2%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hanzal
58.0%▬
57.0%
56.4%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2016 | 3 | 18:06 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 3 | 02:39 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 2 | 02:57 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 2 | 00:07 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 1 | 15:03 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 1 | 06:04 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |