Martin Hanzal vs Nathan MacKinnon
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Martin Hanzal holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Hanzal on neutral-zone draws (63% H2H, 24 meetings). Hanzal wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hanzal 53.7% vs MacKinnon 46.8% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Hanzal leads 36-25 in 61 meetings
Offensive zone
Hanzal 75.6%
Defensive zone
Hanzal 82.1%
Neutral zone
Hanzal 84.5%
Result
Martin Hanzal favored at 80.7%
80.7%
19.3%
Hanzal
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
36
-
25
(61 meetings)
36
25
Hanzal
MacKinnon
Last 10: Hanzal 9-1 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hanzal
13
9
Hanzal
MacKinnon
22 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hanzal
8
7
Hanzal
MacKinnon
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hanzal
15
9
Hanzal
MacKinnon
24 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hanzal
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (5,547)
46.1% (11,218)
+7.9%
Power Play
56.7% (1,179)
53.3% (1,412)
+3.4%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (644)
42.8% (502)
+3.2%
On even strength, Hanzal has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Hanzal is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (2,660).
Hanzal shoots left. MacKinnon is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (9,490).
Home / Away
Hanzal
MacKinnon
Home
55.1% (3,687)
49.7% (6,444)
Away
52.3% (3,704)
44.0% (6,689)
By Period
Hanzal
MacKinnon
P1
54.9%
47.4%
P2
53.6%
46.6%
P3
52.4%
46.1%
OT
56.5%
48.4%
Final 5 min
51.7%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hanzal
58.0%▬
57.0%
53.7%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2018 | 3 | 15:24 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 1 | 15:17 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 1 | 02:32 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 3 | 08:34 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 2 | 12:57 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 1 | 10:06 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 1 | 10:01 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 3 | 18:46 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 3 | 14:20 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 2 | 12:43 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 1 | 03:20 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 3 | 17:10 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 1 | 09:41 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 3 | 13:29 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 3 | 04:03 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 3 | 00:09 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 1 | 14:46 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |