Scouting Report
Martin Hanzal holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Hanzal on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Hanzal wins 55.9% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hanzal 55.6% vs Bjugstad 49.0% (+7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hanzal 65.7%
Defensive zone
Hanzal 85.1%
Neutral zone
Hanzal 80.5%
Result
Martin Hanzal favored at 73.4%
73.4%
26.6%
Hanzal
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Hanzal
Bjugstad
Last 7: Hanzal 5-2 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hanzal
3
1
Hanzal
Bjugstad
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hanzal
Bjugstad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hanzal
1
0
Hanzal
Bjugstad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hanzal
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (504)
47.3% (806)
+10.2%
Power Play
58.8% (51)
55.0% (149)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (57)
59.0% (39)
-13.4%
On penalty kill, Bjugstad has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Hanzal is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (281).
Hanzal shoots left. Bjugstad is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (693).
Home / Away
Hanzal
Bjugstad
Home
59.7% (288)
55.4% (446)
Away
53.7% (324)
43.6% (548)
By Period
Hanzal
Bjugstad
P1
57.1%
49.4%
P2
56.5%
48.1%
P3
55.2%
48.6%
OT
71.4%
61.1%
Final 5 min
51.0%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hanzal
58.0%▬
57.0%
56.5%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2014 | 3 | 12:48 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Oct 30, 2014 | 3 | 12:33 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Oct 30, 2014 | 3 | 03:51 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Oct 30, 2014 | 3 | 00:54 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 30, 2014 | 2 | 00:25 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Oct 30, 2014 | 1 | 14:23 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 30, 2014 | 1 | 07:41 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |