Scouting Report
Martin Hanzal holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Hanzal on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Hanzal wins 56.8% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hanzal 56.0% vs Bjugstad 48.1% (+8.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hanzal 56.6%
Defensive zone
Hanzal 87.9%
Neutral zone
Hanzal 84.2%
Result
Martin Hanzal favored at 81.5%
81.5%
18.5%
Hanzal
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Hanzal
Bjugstad
Last 6: Hanzal 4-2 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
1
Hanzal
Bjugstad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hanzal
2
1
Hanzal
Bjugstad
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hanzal
2
0
Hanzal
Bjugstad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hanzal
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (1,059)
46.2% (340)
+10.9%
Power Play
60.0% (175)
58.0% (50)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (126)
0.0% (1)
+45.2%
On penalty kill, Hanzal has a +45.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Hanzal is 56.8% vs right-shot opponents (463).
Hanzal shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (264).
Home / Away
Hanzal
Bjugstad
Home
57.6% (682)
49.4% (237)
Away
55.2% (678)
44.8% (154)
By Period
Hanzal
Bjugstad
P1
57.8%
46.4%
P2
57.8%
50.4%
P3
53.7%
45.6%
OT
55.6%
100.0%
Final 5 min
53.2%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hanzal
58.0%▬
57.0%
56.4%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2017 | 2 | 17:10 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Mar 10, 2017 | 2 | 09:36 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Mar 10, 2017 | 2 | 06:13 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Mar 10, 2017 | 1 | 18:55 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 10, 2017 | 1 | 09:56 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 10, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |