Scouting Report
Martin Hanzal holds a +15.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Hanzal on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Hanzal wins 57.4% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hanzal 54.1% vs Schmaltz 41.2% (+15.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hanzal 65.7%
Defensive zone
Hanzal 96.6%
Neutral zone
Hanzal 90.0%
Result
Martin Hanzal favored at 88.2%
88.2%
11.8%
Hanzal
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Hanzal
Schmaltz
Last 6: Hanzal 5-1 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
1
Hanzal
Schmaltz
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hanzal
2
0
Hanzal
Schmaltz
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hanzal
3
0
Hanzal
Schmaltz
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hanzal
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
56.7% (321)
39.5% (658)
+17.2%
Power Play
60.6% (33)
41.3% (92)
+19.3%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (80)
45.1% (51)
+1.2%
On power play, Hanzal has a +19.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Hanzal is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (188).
Hanzal shoots left. Schmaltz is 37.9% vs left-shot opponents (528).
Home / Away
Hanzal
Schmaltz
Home
58.6% (220)
40.8% (424)
Away
51.4% (214)
39.3% (377)
By Period
Hanzal
Schmaltz
P1
58.3%
38.4%
P2
56.7%
40.7%
P3
50.4%
41.0%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
54.2%
42.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hanzal
58.0%▬
57.0%
55.1%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
40.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2018 | 3 | 19:02 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Feb 8, 2018 | 3 | 13:55 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Feb 8, 2018 | 3 | 04:56 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Feb 8, 2018 | 2 | 11:40 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Feb 8, 2018 | 1 | 17:23 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 21, 2017 | 3 | 11:10 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |