Scouting Report
Martin Hanzal holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Spaling on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hanzal 51.9% vs Spaling 50.1% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hanzal 53.1%
Defensive zone
Spaling 66.7%
Neutral zone
Spaling 60.5%
Result
Nick Spaling favored at 65.6%
34.4%
65.6%
Hanzal
Spaling
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Hanzal
Spaling
Last 6: Hanzal 1-5 Spaling
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spaling
1
4
Hanzal
Spaling
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spaling
0
1
Hanzal
Spaling
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hanzal
Spaling
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (782)
49.7% (756)
+2.5%
Power Play
55.4% (202)
35.3% (17)
+20.1%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (103)
55.0% (120)
-9.4%
On power play, Hanzal has a +20.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spaling shoots left. Hanzal is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (697).
Hanzal shoots left. Spaling is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (577).
Home / Away
Hanzal
Spaling
Home
55.2% (580)
52.1% (476)
Away
48.5% (517)
47.8% (418)
By Period
Hanzal
Spaling
P1
55.3%
50.4%
P2
51.2%
51.3%
P3
49.0%
48.5%
OT
60.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
48.4%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hanzal
58.0%▬
57.0%
52.1%
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2011 | 2 | 06:58 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Oct 13, 2011 | 3 | 09:42 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Oct 13, 2011 | 3 | 04:06 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Oct 13, 2011 | 3 | 00:41 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Oct 13, 2011 | 2 | 13:00 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Oct 13, 2011 | 1 | 18:45 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |