Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Hanzal on neutral-zone draws (63% H2H, 24 meetings). Hanzal wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hanzal 53.7% vs Stastny 55.1% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Hanzal leads 40-33 in 73 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 59.8%
Defensive zone
Stastny 55.3%
Neutral zone
Stastny 58.1%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 57.9%
42.1%
57.9%
Hanzal
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
40
-
33
(73 meetings)
40
33
Hanzal
Stastny
Last 10: Hanzal 5-5 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
13
14
Hanzal
Stastny
27 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hanzal
12
10
Hanzal
Stastny
22 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hanzal
15
9
Hanzal
Stastny
24 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hanzal
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (5,547)
54.6% (10,616)
-0.6%
Power Play
56.7% (1,179)
59.1% (1,994)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (644)
52.9% (1,119)
-6.9%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Hanzal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (4,731).
Hanzal shoots left. Stastny is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,871).
Home / Away
Hanzal
Stastny
Home
55.1% (3,687)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
52.3% (3,704)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Hanzal
Stastny
P1
54.9%
56.3%
P2
53.6%
55.4%
P3
52.4%
53.5%
OT
56.5%
62.9%
Final 5 min
51.7%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hanzal
58.0%▬
57.0%
53.7%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2018 | 3 | 18:16 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 16, 2018 | 3 | 10:33 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 16, 2018 | 2 | 06:29 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Feb 16, 2018 | 1 | 16:10 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 1 | 15:03 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 1 | 00:45 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 7, 2017 | 2 | 19:36 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Mar 7, 2017 | 2 | 05:46 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 7, 2017 | 2 | 05:35 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 3 | 18:42 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Feb 20, 2016 | 3 | 05:31 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 28, 2014 | 3 | 19:53 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 28, 2014 | 3 | 16:49 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Feb 28, 2014 | 3 | 13:58 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Feb 28, 2014 | 3 | 06:49 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 28, 2014 | 3 | 03:24 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Feb 28, 2014 | 3 | 03:10 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Feb 28, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Feb 28, 2014 | 2 | 00:10 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Feb 28, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |