Scouting Report
Rich Peverley holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Hanzal on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Hanzal wins 54.5% vs right-shot opponents — Peverley shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hanzal 54.1% vs Peverley 58.6% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hanzal 64.9%
Defensive zone
Hanzal 64.5%
Neutral zone
Hanzal 64.2%
Result
Martin Hanzal favored at 64.6%
64.6%
35.4%
Hanzal
Peverley
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Hanzal
Peverley
Last 6: Hanzal 2-4 Peverley
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hanzal
2
1
Hanzal
Peverley
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Peverley
0
2
Hanzal
Peverley
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Peverley
0
1
Hanzal
Peverley
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hanzal
Peverley
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (846)
62.8% (414)
-8.7%
Power Play
62.2% (180)
54.2% (96)
+8.0%
Penalty Kill
39.7% (73)
52.2% (69)
-12.5%
On penalty kill, Peverley has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Peverley shoots right. Hanzal is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (440).
Hanzal shoots left. Peverley is 62.0% vs left-shot opponents (397).
Home / Away
Hanzal
Peverley
Home
56.3% (528)
63.9% (324)
Away
52.9% (571)
55.3% (255)
By Period
Hanzal
Peverley
P1
58.2%
63.3%
P2
49.5%
60.1%
P3
56.3%
58.0%
OT
52.9%
40.0%
Final 5 min
54.7%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hanzal
58.0%▬
57.0%
54.5%
Peverley
60.0%▲
58.0%
60.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2014 | 3 | 03:24 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Feb 8, 2014 | 1 | 17:29 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Feb 4, 2014 | 3 | 16:36 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Feb 4, 2014 | 3 | 03:25 | Neutral | Rich Peverley |
| Feb 4, 2014 | 2 | 15:48 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |
| Feb 4, 2014 | 1 | 15:40 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |