Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Hanzal wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hanzal 47.2% vs O'Reilly 52.3% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hanzal 81.6%
Defensive zone
Hanzal 53.7%
Neutral zone
Hanzal 64.0%
Result
Martin Hanzal favored at 70.2%
70.2%
29.8%
Hanzal
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Hanzal
O'Reilly
Last 8: Hanzal 2-6 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Hanzal
O'Reilly
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
2
Hanzal
O'Reilly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
2
Hanzal
O'Reilly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hanzal
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (502)
53.6% (392)
-6.2%
Power Play
42.9% (119)
47.2% (36)
-4.3%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (16)
50.0% (28)
+6.3%
On penalty kill, Hanzal has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Hanzal is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (491).
Hanzal shoots left. O'Reilly is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (314).
Home / Away
Hanzal
O'Reilly
Home
44.8% (330)
54.4% (237)
Away
48.9% (307)
51.1% (219)
By Period
Hanzal
O'Reilly
P1
47.8%
50.3%
P2
47.1%
51.4%
P3
46.0%
55.7%
OT
40.0%
71.4%
Final 5 min
43.5%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hanzal
58.0%▬
57.0%
46.8%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2013 | OT | 01:37 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 26, 2013 | 3 | 13:43 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 26, 2013 | 3 | 09:34 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 26, 2013 | 2 | 18:18 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 26, 2013 | 1 | 12:42 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Apr 6, 2013 | 3 | 01:13 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 6, 2013 | 1 | 08:38 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 6, 2013 | 1 | 08:30 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |