Scouting Report
Martin Hanzal holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Gagner on offensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 15 meetings). Hanzal wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hanzal 53.7% vs Gagner 46.0% (+7.8%)
H2H factor
Hanzal leads 30-25 in 55 meetings
Offensive zone
Hanzal 59.8%
Defensive zone
Hanzal 80.6%
Neutral zone
Hanzal 76.4%
Result
Martin Hanzal favored at 73.2%
73.2%
26.8%
Hanzal
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
30
-
25
(55 meetings)
30
25
Hanzal
Gagner
Last 10: Hanzal 6-4 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
4
11
Hanzal
Gagner
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hanzal
12
5
Hanzal
Gagner
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hanzal
14
9
Hanzal
Gagner
23 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hanzal
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (5,547)
45.4% (4,699)
+8.6%
Power Play
56.7% (1,179)
51.5% (928)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (644)
35.0% (226)
+11.0%
On penalty kill, Hanzal has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Hanzal is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (2,660).
Hanzal shoots left. Gagner is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,184).
Home / Away
Hanzal
Gagner
Home
55.1% (3,687)
48.7% (3,025)
Away
52.3% (3,704)
43.0% (2,843)
By Period
Hanzal
Gagner
P1
54.9%
44.6%
P2
53.6%
46.1%
P3
52.4%
47.3%
OT
56.5%
42.0%
Final 5 min
51.7%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hanzal
58.0%▬
57.0%
53.7%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2017 | 2 | 12:48 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Mar 2, 2017 | 2 | 09:53 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Mar 2, 2017 | 2 | 09:49 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 2, 2017 | 2 | 06:16 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 1 | 17:12 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 26, 2016 | 3 | 04:55 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Jan 24, 2014 | 2 | 19:54 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Jan 24, 2014 | 1 | 08:29 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 31, 2013 | 3 | 10:33 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 31, 2013 | 2 | 17:51 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 31, 2013 | 2 | 14:04 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 31, 2013 | 2 | 11:48 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 3, 2013 | 3 | 13:10 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 3, 2013 | 3 | 13:07 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 3, 2013 | 3 | 10:15 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 3, 2013 | 3 | 01:58 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 3, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 3, 2013 | 2 | 03:09 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 3, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 3, 2013 | 1 | 19:28 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |