Scouting Report
Martin Hanzal holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Gagner on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hanzal 51.9% vs Gagner 47.9% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Gagner leads 13-6 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Gagner 71.5%
Defensive zone
Gagner 75.8%
Neutral zone
Gagner 71.3%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 72.1%
27.9%
72.1%
Hanzal
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
13
(19 meetings)
6
13
Hanzal
Gagner
Last 10: Hanzal 3-7 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
1
7
Hanzal
Gagner
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
1
2
Hanzal
Gagner
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Hanzal
Gagner
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hanzal
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (782)
47.6% (599)
+4.6%
Power Play
55.4% (202)
47.7% (86)
+7.7%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (103)
60.0% (5)
-14.4%
On penalty kill, Gagner has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Hanzal is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (400).
Hanzal shoots left. Gagner is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (515).
Home / Away
Hanzal
Gagner
Home
55.2% (580)
49.5% (331)
Away
48.5% (517)
45.9% (370)
By Period
Hanzal
Gagner
P1
55.3%
47.7%
P2
51.2%
43.9%
P3
49.0%
51.8%
OT
60.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
48.4%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hanzal
58.0%▬
57.0%
52.1%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2012 | 3 | 04:29 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 18, 2012 | 3 | 01:20 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 25, 2012 | 3 | 19:05 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Feb 25, 2012 | 3 | 18:56 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 25, 2012 | 3 | 06:38 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 25, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Feb 25, 2012 | 2 | 14:32 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 25, 2012 | 2 | 10:29 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 25, 2012 | 2 | 10:19 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 25, 2012 | 2 | 06:36 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Feb 25, 2012 | 2 | 06:29 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 25, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 25, 2012 | 1 | 07:55 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 25, 2012 | 1 | 05:43 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Feb 25, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 15, 2011 | 3 | 17:25 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 15, 2011 | 2 | 17:34 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 15, 2011 | 2 | 10:27 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 15, 2011 | 1 | 00:45 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |