Scouting Report
Martin Hanzal holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Hanzal on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Hanzal wins 56.8% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hanzal 56.0% vs Gagner 48.0% (+8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gagner 86.5%
Defensive zone
Hanzal 65.8%
Neutral zone
Gagner 56.2%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 55.1%
44.9%
55.1%
Hanzal
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Hanzal
Gagner
Last 5: Hanzal 2-3 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
0
2
Hanzal
Gagner
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hanzal
2
1
Hanzal
Gagner
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hanzal
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (1,059)
46.5% (310)
+10.6%
Power Play
60.0% (175)
50.4% (115)
+9.6%
On even strength, Hanzal has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Hanzal is 56.8% vs right-shot opponents (463).
Hanzal shoots left. Gagner is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Home / Away
Hanzal
Gagner
Home
57.6% (682)
52.4% (212)
Away
55.2% (678)
42.7% (213)
By Period
Hanzal
Gagner
P1
57.8%
46.2%
P2
57.8%
52.2%
P3
53.7%
43.6%
OT
55.6%
33.3%
Final 5 min
53.2%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hanzal
58.0%▬
57.0%
56.4%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2017 | 2 | 12:48 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Mar 2, 2017 | 2 | 09:53 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Mar 2, 2017 | 2 | 09:49 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 2, 2017 | 2 | 06:16 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 1 | 17:12 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |