Scouting Report
Shawn Horcoff holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Horcoff on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Hanzal wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Horcoff shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hanzal 47.2% vs Horcoff 49.2% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hanzal 79.6%
Defensive zone
Horcoff 58.2%
Neutral zone
Hanzal 66.5%
Result
Martin Hanzal favored at 60.5%
60.5%
39.5%
Hanzal
Horcoff
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Hanzal
Horcoff
Last 8: Hanzal 2-6 Horcoff
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horcoff
0
2
Hanzal
Horcoff
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horcoff
0
3
Hanzal
Horcoff
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hanzal
2
1
Hanzal
Horcoff
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hanzal
Horcoff
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (502)
46.9% (318)
+0.5%
Power Play
42.9% (119)
64.9% (94)
-22.0%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (16)
39.8% (88)
+16.5%
On power play, Horcoff has a +22.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horcoff shoots left. Hanzal is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (491).
Hanzal shoots left. Horcoff is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (350).
Home / Away
Hanzal
Horcoff
Home
44.8% (330)
46.7% (289)
Away
48.9% (307)
52.1% (211)
By Period
Hanzal
Horcoff
P1
47.8%
49.4%
P2
47.1%
47.0%
P3
46.0%
50.9%
OT
40.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
43.5%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hanzal
58.0%▬
57.0%
46.8%
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2013 | 3 | 00:56 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Apr 10, 2013 | 3 | 00:52 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Apr 10, 2013 | 2 | 17:45 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Apr 10, 2013 | 2 | 10:30 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Apr 10, 2013 | 2 | 10:20 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Apr 10, 2013 | 2 | 06:20 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Apr 10, 2013 | 2 | 04:33 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Apr 10, 2013 | 1 | 06:18 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |