Scouting Report
Martin Hanzal holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Hanzal on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Hanzal wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hanzal 56.0% vs Hertl 51.4% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hanzal 62.2%
Defensive zone
Hanzal 74.1%
Neutral zone
Hanzal 83.4%
Result
Martin Hanzal favored at 68.6%
68.6%
31.4%
Hanzal
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Hanzal
Hertl
Last 7: Hanzal 5-2 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hanzal
3
1
Hanzal
Hertl
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hanzal
Hertl
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hanzal
1
0
Hanzal
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hanzal
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (1,059)
50.4% (367)
+6.7%
Power Play
60.0% (175)
64.6% (48)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (126)
49.2% (59)
-4.0%
On even strength, Hanzal has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Hanzal is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (897).
Hanzal shoots left. Hertl is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (260).
Home / Away
Hanzal
Hertl
Home
57.6% (682)
50.9% (220)
Away
55.2% (678)
52.4% (254)
By Period
Hanzal
Hertl
P1
57.8%
52.7%
P2
57.8%
52.8%
P3
53.7%
49.7%
OT
55.6%
40.0%
Final 5 min
53.2%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hanzal
58.0%▬
57.0%
56.4%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2017 | 3 | 08:08 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 2 | 13:52 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 2 | 11:06 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 1 | 01:06 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Mar 5, 2017 | 1 | 18:41 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Feb 18, 2017 | 1 | 10:32 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Feb 4, 2017 | OT | 04:25 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |