Scouting Report
Martin Hanzal holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Hanzal on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Hanzal wins 56.8% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hanzal 56.0% vs Zajac 54.4% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hanzal 50.0%
Defensive zone
Hanzal 56.9%
Neutral zone
Hanzal 57.6%
Result
Martin Hanzal favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
Hanzal
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Hanzal
Zajac
Last 6: Hanzal 4-2 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hanzal
3
0
Hanzal
Zajac
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
0
2
Hanzal
Zajac
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hanzal
1
0
Hanzal
Zajac
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hanzal
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (1,059)
54.1% (1,208)
+3.0%
Power Play
60.0% (175)
60.9% (230)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (126)
50.3% (179)
-5.1%
On penalty kill, Zajac has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Hanzal is 56.8% vs right-shot opponents (463).
Hanzal shoots left. Zajac is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,100).
Home / Away
Hanzal
Zajac
Home
57.6% (682)
56.3% (778)
Away
55.2% (678)
53.2% (839)
By Period
Hanzal
Zajac
P1
57.8%
56.3%
P2
57.8%
54.6%
P3
53.7%
53.1%
OT
55.6%
55.6%
Final 5 min
53.2%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hanzal
58.0%▬
57.0%
56.4%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2016 | 3 | 17:07 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 3 | 13:06 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 3 | 11:08 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 3 | 10:59 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 3 | 02:48 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 1 | 03:02 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |