Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.7% vs 53.6%). Look for Hanzal on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Hanzal wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hanzal 53.7% vs Seguin 53.6% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Hanzal leads 19-11 in 30 meetings
Offensive zone
Hanzal 57.1%
Defensive zone
Seguin 50.2%
Neutral zone
Hanzal 53.3%
Result
Martin Hanzal favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
Hanzal
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
11
(30 meetings)
19
11
Hanzal
Seguin
Last 10: Hanzal 6-4 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hanzal
7
2
Hanzal
Seguin
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hanzal
7
2
Hanzal
Seguin
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
5
7
Hanzal
Seguin
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hanzal
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (5,547)
53.7% (8,071)
+0.3%
Power Play
56.7% (1,179)
55.9% (810)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (644)
49.3% (762)
-3.3%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +3.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Hanzal is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (2,660).
Hanzal shoots left. Seguin is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (6,798).
Home / Away
Hanzal
Seguin
Home
55.1% (3,687)
55.9% (4,759)
Away
52.3% (3,704)
51.4% (4,885)
By Period
Hanzal
Seguin
P1
54.9%
52.8%
P2
53.6%
53.3%
P3
52.4%
54.7%
OT
56.5%
54.7%
Final 5 min
51.7%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hanzal
58.0%▬
57.0%
53.7%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2017 | 2 | 00:46 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Feb 24, 2017 | 2 | 00:38 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Feb 24, 2017 | 1 | 08:07 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 3 | 12:14 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 3 | 09:20 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 3 | 09:14 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 3 | 02:24 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 2 | 18:13 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 2 | 14:49 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 2 | 07:36 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 31, 2014 | 2 | 18:59 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 31, 2014 | 2 | 16:44 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Dec 31, 2014 | 1 | 15:07 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 31, 2014 | 1 | 03:01 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 3 | 02:09 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 2 | 17:26 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 2 | 09:03 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |