Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +12.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Nosek on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Necas wins 40.8% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Necas 41.9% vs Nosek 53.9% (-12.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Necas 88.2%
Defensive zone
Necas 53.6%
Neutral zone
Necas 79.5%
Result
Martin Necas favored at 63.9%
63.9%
36.1%
Necas
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Necas
Nosek
Last 5: Necas 1-4 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
3
Necas
Nosek
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Necas
Nosek
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Necas
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
40.7% (797)
55.0% (2,608)
-14.3%
Power Play
40.0% (135)
43.5% (46)
-3.5%
Penalty Kill
54.1% (37)
48.6% (397)
+5.5%
On even strength, Nosek has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Necas is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (743).
Necas shoots right. Nosek is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,171).
Home / Away
Necas
Nosek
Home
39.2% (492)
52.9% (1,606)
Away
43.0% (477)
55.3% (1,445)
By Period
Necas
Nosek
P1
39.9%
52.5%
P2
40.6%
54.7%
P3
43.3%
54.6%
OT
41.7%
75.0%
Final 5 min
42.7%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Necas
36.0%▼
38.0%
41.1%
Nosek
56.0%▬
55.5%
54.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2023 | OT | 04:59 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 3 | 09:36 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 2 | 17:43 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 1 | 17:11 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3 | 01:49 | Neutral | Martin Necas |