Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +12.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Nosek on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Necas wins 40.8% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Necas 41.9% vs Nosek 53.6% (-12.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Necas 87.1%
Defensive zone
Necas 50.1%
Neutral zone
Necas 77.2%
Result
Martin Necas favored at 60.9%
60.9%
39.1%
Necas
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Necas
Nosek
Last 5: Necas 1-4 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
3
Necas
Nosek
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Necas
Nosek
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Necas
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
40.7% (797)
54.9% (2,674)
-14.2%
Power Play
40.0% (135)
44.7% (47)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
54.1% (37)
47.4% (424)
+6.7%
On even strength, Nosek has a +14.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Necas is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (743).
Necas shoots right. Nosek is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,203).
Home / Away
Necas
Nosek
Home
39.2% (492)
52.7% (1,631)
Away
43.0% (477)
54.8% (1,514)
By Period
Necas
Nosek
P1
39.9%
52.3%
P2
40.6%
54.0%
P3
43.3%
54.6%
OT
41.7%
75.0%
Final 5 min
42.7%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Necas
36.0%▼
38.0%
41.1%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2023 | OT | 04:59 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 3 | 09:36 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 2 | 17:43 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 26, 2023 | 1 | 17:11 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3 | 01:49 | Neutral | Martin Necas |