Scouting Report
Marty Reasoner holds a +19.4% FO% edge overall. Wheeler wins 38.0% vs left-shot opponents — Reasoner shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wheeler 41.1% vs Reasoner 54.2% (-19.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wheeler 74.5%
Defensive zone
Reasoner 56.4%
Neutral zone
Wheeler 65.5%
Result
Blake Wheeler favored at 60.3%
60.3%
39.7%
Wheeler
Reasoner
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Wheeler
Reasoner
Last 5: Wheeler 1-4 Reasoner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Reasoner
0
2
Wheeler
Reasoner
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Wheeler
Reasoner
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Reasoner
0
1
Wheeler
Reasoner
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wheeler
Reasoner
Edge
Even Strength
36.9% (122)
56.1% (923)
-19.2%
Power Play
35.7% (14)
56.1% (57)
-20.4%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (12)
48.2% (278)
-31.5%
On penalty kill, Reasoner has a +31.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reasoner shoots left. Wheeler is 38.0% vs left-shot opponents (79).
Wheeler shoots right. Reasoner is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (454).
Home / Away
Wheeler
Reasoner
Home
30.4% (79)
56.9% (627)
Away
40.6% (69)
52.2% (657)
By Period
Wheeler
Reasoner
P1
30.2%
52.9%
P2
37.7%
53.8%
P3
38.1%
57.1%
Final 5 min
16.7%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wheeler
60.0%▲
53.0%
35.1%
Reasoner
50.0%▼
52.5%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2011 | 3 | 09:22 | Offensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Nov 18, 2010 | 3 | 14:57 | Neutral | Marty Reasoner |
| Nov 18, 2010 | 3 | 13:03 | Offensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Nov 18, 2010 | 3 | 06:32 | Defensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Nov 18, 2010 | 3 | 06:16 | Defensive | Blake Wheeler |