Scouting Report
Marty Reasoner holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Reasoner on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thorburn 49.9% vs Reasoner 54.2% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thorburn 70.6%
Defensive zone
Thorburn 54.3%
Neutral zone
Thorburn 60.9%
Result
Chris Thorburn favored at 60.4%
60.4%
39.6%
Thorburn
Reasoner
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Thorburn
Reasoner
Last 7: Thorburn 2-5 Reasoner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Reasoner
0
1
Thorburn
Reasoner
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Thorburn
Reasoner
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Reasoner
1
3
Thorburn
Reasoner
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thorburn
Reasoner
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (171)
56.1% (923)
-2.9%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
56.1% (57)
-11.7%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (71)
48.2% (278)
-5.9%
On power play, Reasoner has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reasoner shoots left. Thorburn is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (169).
Thorburn shoots right. Reasoner is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (454).
Home / Away
Thorburn
Reasoner
Home
52.1% (119)
56.9% (627)
Away
47.7% (132)
52.2% (657)
By Period
Thorburn
Reasoner
P1
45.3%
52.9%
P2
53.8%
53.8%
P3
51.3%
57.1%
OT
20.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
40.7%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thorburn
52.0%▼
57.0%
49.8%
Reasoner
50.0%▼
52.5%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2011 | 1 | 17:09 | Offensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Feb 25, 2011 | 2 | 08:37 | Defensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Feb 25, 2011 | 1 | 07:13 | Neutral | Chris Thorburn |
| Jan 17, 2011 | 3 | 18:02 | Neutral | Marty Reasoner |
| Jan 17, 2011 | 3 | 07:18 | Neutral | Marty Reasoner |
| Jan 17, 2011 | 1 | 12:43 | Neutral | Marty Reasoner |
| Nov 3, 2010 | 3 | 14:25 | Defensive | Chris Thorburn |