Scouting Report
Marty Reasoner holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Josefson on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Josefson wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Reasoner shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Josefson 48.8% vs Reasoner 51.9% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Reasoner 64.9%
Defensive zone
Reasoner 70.7%
Neutral zone
Reasoner 60.1%
Result
Marty Reasoner favored at 64.0%
36.0%
64.0%
Josefson
Reasoner
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Josefson
Reasoner
Last 8: Josefson 5-3 Reasoner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Josefson
2
0
Josefson
Reasoner
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Reasoner
0
2
Josefson
Reasoner
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Josefson
3
1
Josefson
Reasoner
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Josefson
Reasoner
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (178)
55.3% (244)
-4.7%
Power Play
53.8% (13)
100.0% (4)
-46.2%
Penalty Kill
37.8% (45)
35.3% (51)
+2.5%
On power play, Reasoner has a +46.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reasoner shoots left. Josefson is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Josefson shoots left. Reasoner is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (164).
Home / Away
Josefson
Reasoner
Home
50.0% (120)
50.0% (142)
Away
46.6% (116)
54.8% (157)
By Period
Josefson
Reasoner
P1
46.4%
49.0%
P2
50.6%
60.0%
P3
48.8%
48.5%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.8%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Josefson
42.0%▼
44.0%
48.3%
Reasoner
50.0%▼
52.5%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2013 | 3 | 03:17 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |
| Feb 3, 2013 | 2 | 11:33 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |
| Feb 3, 2013 | 2 | 02:39 | Neutral | Marty Reasoner |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 3 | 07:22 | Offensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 3 | 07:14 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 2 | 07:20 | Offensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 1 | 17:32 | Defensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 1 | 17:23 | Defensive | Marty Reasoner |