Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Reasoner on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Beagle wins 57.0% vs left-shot opponents — Reasoner shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 56.7% vs Reasoner 53.7% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Reasoner leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Reasoner 70.7%
Defensive zone
Beagle 58.4%
Neutral zone
Reasoner 54.5%
Result
Marty Reasoner favored at 54.5%
45.5%
54.5%
Beagle
Reasoner
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
8
(13 meetings)
5
8
Beagle
Reasoner
Last 10: Beagle 3-7 Reasoner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Reasoner
0
4
Beagle
Reasoner
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
3
2
Beagle
Reasoner
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Beagle
Reasoner
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Reasoner
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (4,994)
55.7% (1,642)
+1.8%
Power Play
60.5% (119)
56.9% (72)
+3.6%
Penalty Kill
54.2% (1,554)
45.5% (413)
+8.7%
On penalty kill, Beagle has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reasoner shoots left. Beagle is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (4,667).
Beagle shoots right. Reasoner is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (766).
Home / Away
Beagle
Reasoner
Home
59.1% (3,228)
55.4% (1,032)
Away
54.5% (3,443)
52.4% (1,123)
By Period
Beagle
Reasoner
P1
57.4%
53.1%
P2
57.1%
53.1%
P3
56.2%
55.3%
OT
41.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.3%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.8%
Reasoner
50.0%▼
52.5%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2013 | 1 | 08:56 | Defensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 1 | 05:24 | Neutral | Marty Reasoner |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 3 | 15:02 | Offensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 1 | 18:04 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 1 | 08:36 | Neutral | Marty Reasoner |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 1 | 05:25 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 1 | 01:42 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 1 | 01:50 | Offensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 1 | 01:36 | Offensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Mar 13, 2012 | 3 | 11:25 | Defensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Mar 13, 2012 | 3 | 06:41 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Apr 9, 2011 | 3 | 12:07 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Apr 9, 2011 | 3 | 11:58 | Offensive | Marty Reasoner |