Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Reasoner on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Beagle wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Reasoner shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 55.0% vs Reasoner 51.9% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Reasoner 65.4%
Defensive zone
Reasoner 55.5%
Neutral zone
Reasoner 55.8%
Result
Marty Reasoner favored at 58.9%
41.1%
58.9%
Beagle
Reasoner
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Beagle
Reasoner
Last 9: Beagle 3-6 Reasoner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Reasoner
0
3
Beagle
Reasoner
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Beagle
Reasoner
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Beagle
Reasoner
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Reasoner
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (318)
55.3% (244)
+0.4%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
100.0% (4)
-54.5%
Penalty Kill
58.3% (115)
35.3% (51)
+23.0%
On power play, Reasoner has a +54.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reasoner shoots left. Beagle is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (313).
Beagle shoots right. Reasoner is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (135).
Home / Away
Beagle
Reasoner
Home
58.0% (226)
50.0% (142)
Away
54.1% (218)
54.8% (157)
By Period
Beagle
Reasoner
P1
54.7%
49.0%
P2
57.7%
60.0%
P3
56.1%
48.5%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.9%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.1%
Reasoner
50.0%▼
52.5%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2013 | 1 | 08:56 | Defensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 1 | 05:24 | Neutral | Marty Reasoner |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 3 | 15:02 | Offensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 1 | 18:04 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 1 | 08:36 | Neutral | Marty Reasoner |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 1 | 05:25 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 1 | 01:42 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 1 | 01:50 | Offensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Mar 9, 2013 | 1 | 01:36 | Offensive | Marty Reasoner |