Scouting Report
Marty Reasoner holds a +14.2% FO% edge overall. Reasoner wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Frolik shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Reasoner 54.2% vs Frolik 44.7% (+14.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frolik 86.2%
Defensive zone
Frolik 52.1%
Neutral zone
Frolik 74.3%
Result
Michael Frolik favored at 74.5%
25.5%
74.5%
Reasoner
Frolik
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Reasoner
Frolik
Last 7: Reasoner 2-5 Frolik
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frolik
0
2
Reasoner
Frolik
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Frolik
0
1
Reasoner
Frolik
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Reasoner
Frolik
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Reasoner
Frolik
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (923)
41.3% (109)
+14.8%
Power Play
56.1% (57)
30.0% (10)
+26.1%
On power play, Reasoner has a +26.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frolik shoots left. Reasoner is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (830).
Reasoner shoots left. Frolik is 41.6% vs left-shot opponents (89).
Home / Away
Reasoner
Frolik
Home
56.9% (627)
44.4% (63)
Away
52.2% (657)
35.7% (56)
By Period
Reasoner
Frolik
P1
52.9%
40.0%
P2
53.8%
43.5%
P3
57.1%
36.1%
OT
40.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.9%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Reasoner
50.0%▼
52.5%
54.5%
Frolik
32.0%▼
42.0%
40.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2011 | 3 | 12:04 | Neutral | Michael Frolik |
| Mar 23, 2011 | 3 | 00:46 | Neutral | Marty Reasoner |
| Mar 23, 2011 | 2 | 00:13 | Neutral | Michael Frolik |
| Mar 23, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marty Reasoner |
| Mar 23, 2011 | 1 | 14:34 | Offensive | Michael Frolik |
| Mar 23, 2011 | 1 | 11:47 | Offensive | Michael Frolik |
| Mar 23, 2011 | 1 | 04:17 | Defensive | Michael Frolik |