Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.5% vs 54.2%). Look for Thompson on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Reasoner wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Thompson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Reasoner 54.2% vs Thompson 53.7% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Thompson leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Reasoner 55.1%
Defensive zone
Reasoner 51.3%
Neutral zone
Reasoner 54.1%
Result
Marty Reasoner favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Reasoner
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
9
(14 meetings)
5
9
Reasoner
Thompson
Last 10: Reasoner 3-7 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
2
3
Reasoner
Thompson
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
3
4
Reasoner
Thompson
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
2
Reasoner
Thompson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Reasoner
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (923)
56.1% (478)
+0.0%
Power Play
56.1% (57)
57.1% (14)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (278)
47.6% (164)
+0.6%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Reasoner is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (830).
Reasoner shoots left. Thompson is 57.7% vs left-shot opponents (430).
Home / Away
Reasoner
Thompson
Home
56.9% (627)
55.2% (315)
Away
52.2% (657)
53.3% (349)
By Period
Reasoner
Thompson
P1
52.9%
57.5%
P2
53.8%
54.2%
P3
57.1%
51.1%
OT
40.0%
54.5%
Final 5 min
53.9%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Reasoner
50.0%▼
52.5%
54.5%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2011 | 3 | 19:46 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 3 | 08:55 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 1 | 13:50 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 1 | 10:44 | Offensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 1 | 07:53 | Defensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 1 | 02:14 | Offensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Apr 8, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 12, 2011 | 2 | 08:04 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 19, 2011 | OT | 03:59 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 19, 2011 | 1 | 17:38 | Defensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Jan 21, 2011 | 2 | 09:49 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 16, 2010 | 3 | 18:44 | Defensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Oct 16, 2010 | 3 | 05:26 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |