Scouting Report
Marty Reasoner holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Reasoner on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Reasoner wins 53.4% vs left-shot opponents — Matthias shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Reasoner 52.5% vs Matthias 49.5% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Reasoner 57.6%
Defensive zone
Reasoner 80.5%
Neutral zone
Reasoner 70.3%
Result
Marty Reasoner favored at 73.9%
73.9%
26.1%
Reasoner
Matthias
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Reasoner
Matthias
Last 5: Reasoner 4-1 Matthias
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Reasoner
1
0
Reasoner
Matthias
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Reasoner
3
0
Reasoner
Matthias
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthias
0
1
Reasoner
Matthias
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Reasoner
Matthias
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (475)
49.4% (510)
+5.8%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
55.3% (38)
-9.8%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (84)
46.5% (43)
-3.6%
On power play, Matthias has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Matthias shoots left. Reasoner is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (395).
Reasoner shoots left. Matthias is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Home / Away
Reasoner
Matthias
Home
54.8% (263)
47.6% (315)
Away
51.5% (309)
51.4% (282)
By Period
Reasoner
Matthias
P1
55.7%
50.0%
P2
47.8%
51.9%
P3
54.9%
45.8%
OT
100.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
48.4%
39.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Reasoner
50.0%▼
52.5%
53.0%
Matthias
40.0%▼
41.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Shawn Matthias |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 2 | 13:38 | Defensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 2 | 09:54 | Defensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 2 | 06:44 | Defensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 2 | 03:48 | Offensive | Marty Reasoner |