Scouting Report
Marty Reasoner holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings). Reasoner wins 53.4% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Reasoner 52.5% vs Crosby 50.1% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 13-6 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 77.4%
Defensive zone
Reasoner 67.5%
Neutral zone
Reasoner 50.1%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 56.5%
43.5%
56.5%
Reasoner
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
13
(19 meetings)
6
13
Reasoner
Crosby
Last 10: Reasoner 4-6 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
8
Reasoner
Crosby
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Reasoner
5
2
Reasoner
Crosby
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
3
Reasoner
Crosby
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Reasoner
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (475)
49.3% (335)
+5.9%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
54.7% (106)
-9.2%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (84)
28.6% (7)
+14.3%
On penalty kill, Reasoner has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Reasoner is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (395).
Reasoner shoots left. Crosby is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (295).
Home / Away
Reasoner
Crosby
Home
54.8% (263)
57.1% (240)
Away
51.5% (309)
42.3% (213)
By Period
Reasoner
Crosby
P1
55.7%
55.0%
P2
47.8%
46.3%
P3
54.9%
50.0%
OT
100.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
48.4%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Reasoner
50.0%▼
52.5%
53.0%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2012 | 3 | 02:58 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 29, 2012 | 2 | 01:39 | Defensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Mar 29, 2012 | 1 | 15:18 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 29, 2012 | 1 | 14:57 | Defensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Mar 29, 2012 | 1 | 11:07 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 27, 2012 | 3 | 14:36 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 27, 2012 | 3 | 09:44 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 27, 2012 | 2 | 10:15 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 27, 2012 | 1 | 18:13 | Defensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Mar 27, 2012 | 1 | 18:09 | Defensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Mar 27, 2012 | 1 | 07:10 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 27, 2012 | 1 | 04:11 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 27, 2012 | 1 | 01:27 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 21, 2011 | 2 | 14:38 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 21, 2011 | 2 | 10:42 | Offensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Nov 21, 2011 | 2 | 05:53 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 21, 2011 | 1 | 15:32 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 21, 2011 | 1 | 15:18 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 21, 2011 | 1 | 09:59 | Defensive | Marty Reasoner |