Scouting Report
Marty Reasoner holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Reasoner on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Reasoner wins 57.3% vs right-shot opponents — Downie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Reasoner 54.2% vs Downie 47.4% (+9.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Downie 57.7%
Defensive zone
Reasoner 83.1%
Neutral zone
Reasoner 67.8%
Result
Marty Reasoner favored at 66.8%
66.8%
33.2%
Reasoner
Downie
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Reasoner
Downie
Last 5: Reasoner 3-2 Downie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Downie
0
2
Reasoner
Downie
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Reasoner
3
0
Reasoner
Downie
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Reasoner
Downie
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (923)
50.9% (53)
+5.2%
Power Play
56.1% (57)
38.1% (42)
+18.0%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (278)
0.0% (1)
+48.2%
On penalty kill, Reasoner has a +48.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Downie shoots right. Reasoner is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (454).
Reasoner shoots left. Downie is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (69).
Home / Away
Reasoner
Downie
Home
56.9% (627)
48.8% (41)
Away
52.2% (657)
41.8% (55)
By Period
Reasoner
Downie
P1
52.9%
35.5%
P2
53.8%
40.5%
P3
57.1%
63.0%
OT
40.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.9%
41.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Reasoner
50.0%▼
52.5%
54.5%
Downie
48.0%▲
46.0%
44.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2011 | 3 | 03:37 | Offensive | Steve Downie |
| Nov 27, 2010 | 3 | 03:50 | Defensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Oct 16, 2010 | 2 | 10:40 | Defensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Oct 16, 2010 | 2 | 06:24 | Offensive | Steve Downie |
| Oct 16, 2010 | 2 | 06:10 | Defensive | Marty Reasoner |