Scouting Report
Marty Reasoner holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Reasoner on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Reasoner 52.5% vs Stamkos 45.8% (+7.5%)
H2H factor
Reasoner leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Reasoner 53.8%
Defensive zone
Reasoner 90.4%
Neutral zone
Reasoner 85.6%
Result
Marty Reasoner favored at 74.5%
74.5%
25.5%
Reasoner
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
4
(14 meetings)
10
4
Reasoner
Stamkos
Last 10: Reasoner 7-3 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Reasoner
3
2
Reasoner
Stamkos
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Reasoner
1
0
Reasoner
Stamkos
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Reasoner
6
2
Reasoner
Stamkos
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Reasoner
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (475)
45.6% (1,055)
+9.6%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
46.6% (116)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (84)
42.1% (38)
+0.8%
On even strength, Reasoner has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Reasoner is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (177).
Reasoner shoots left. Stamkos is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (890).
Home / Away
Reasoner
Stamkos
Home
54.8% (263)
48.4% (636)
Away
51.5% (309)
42.3% (591)
By Period
Reasoner
Stamkos
P1
55.7%
45.7%
P2
47.8%
46.8%
P3
54.9%
43.7%
OT
100.0%
48.0%
Final 5 min
48.4%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Reasoner
50.0%▼
52.5%
53.0%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2012 | 3 | 13:33 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 24, 2012 | 3 | 09:08 | Neutral | Marty Reasoner |
| Mar 24, 2012 | 2 | 08:15 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 24, 2012 | 1 | 05:25 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 6, 2011 | 3 | 03:50 | Defensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Oct 20, 2011 | 3 | 16:59 | Neutral | Marty Reasoner |
| Oct 20, 2011 | 3 | 11:50 | Offensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Oct 20, 2011 | 3 | 11:45 | Offensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Oct 20, 2011 | 3 | 07:55 | Neutral | Marty Reasoner |
| Oct 20, 2011 | 1 | 06:27 | Neutral | Marty Reasoner |
| Oct 13, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marty Reasoner |
| Oct 13, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 13, 2011 | 1 | 17:18 | Offensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Oct 13, 2011 | 1 | 15:15 | Neutral | Marty Reasoner |