Scouting Report
Marty Reasoner holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Plekanec on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Reasoner wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Plekanec shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Reasoner 51.9% vs Plekanec 50.5% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Plekanec 59.2%
Defensive zone
Reasoner 50.6%
Neutral zone
Plekanec 53.7%
Result
Tomas Plekanec favored at 54.9%
45.1%
54.9%
Reasoner
Plekanec
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Reasoner
Plekanec
Last 7: Reasoner 2-5 Plekanec
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Plekanec
0
3
Reasoner
Plekanec
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Reasoner
Plekanec
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Reasoner
Plekanec
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Reasoner
Plekanec
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (244)
51.5% (701)
+3.8%
Power Play
100.0% (4)
47.1% (121)
+52.9%
Penalty Kill
35.3% (51)
48.6% (138)
-13.3%
On power play, Reasoner has a +52.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Plekanec shoots left. Reasoner is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (164).
Reasoner shoots left. Plekanec is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (531).
Home / Away
Reasoner
Plekanec
Home
50.0% (142)
51.4% (473)
Away
54.8% (157)
49.8% (488)
By Period
Reasoner
Plekanec
P1
49.0%
50.7%
P2
60.0%
50.7%
P3
48.5%
49.8%
OT
50.0%
57.9%
Final 5 min
53.7%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Reasoner
50.0%▼
52.5%
52.5%
Plekanec
56.0%▬
56.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2013 | 2 | 16:09 | Neutral | Marty Reasoner |
| Mar 21, 2013 | 2 | 16:06 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 2 | 16:28 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 2 | 05:52 | Defensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 2 | 05:40 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 1 | 01:25 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Feb 21, 2013 | 3 | 05:12 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |