Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.5% vs 55.3%). Look for Reasoner on neutral-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Reasoner wins 57.3% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Reasoner 54.2% vs Zajac 54.9% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Reasoner leads 9-1 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Zajac 84.9%
Defensive zone
Reasoner 54.9%
Neutral zone
Zajac 61.1%
Result
Travis Zajac favored at 65.8%
34.2%
65.8%
Reasoner
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
1
(10 meetings)
9
1
Reasoner
Zajac
Last 10: Reasoner 9-1 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Reasoner
2
0
Reasoner
Zajac
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Reasoner
7
1
Reasoner
Zajac
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Reasoner
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (923)
53.9% (958)
+2.2%
Power Play
56.1% (57)
67.1% (146)
-11.0%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (278)
52.5% (139)
-4.3%
On power play, Zajac has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Reasoner is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (454).
Reasoner shoots left. Zajac is 57.3% vs left-shot opponents (888).
Home / Away
Reasoner
Zajac
Home
56.9% (627)
55.5% (627)
Away
52.2% (657)
55.1% (651)
By Period
Reasoner
Zajac
P1
52.9%
51.7%
P2
53.8%
58.5%
P3
57.1%
56.0%
OT
40.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
53.9%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Reasoner
50.0%▼
52.5%
54.5%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2011 | 3 | 07:47 | Neutral | Marty Reasoner |
| Feb 27, 2011 | 2 | 10:36 | Offensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Feb 4, 2011 | 3 | 19:35 | Neutral | Marty Reasoner |
| Jan 23, 2011 | 3 | 12:01 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Jan 23, 2011 | 1 | 10:25 | Offensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 3 | 08:47 | Neutral | Marty Reasoner |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 1 | 12:03 | Neutral | Marty Reasoner |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 1 | 08:45 | Neutral | Marty Reasoner |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 1 | 05:01 | Neutral | Marty Reasoner |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marty Reasoner |