Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.8% vs 53.6%). Look for Reasoner on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Reasoner wins 55.0% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Reasoner 53.7% vs Seguin 53.6% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 71.3%
Defensive zone
Reasoner 57.0%
Neutral zone
Seguin 52.7%
Result
Marty Reasoner favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Reasoner
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Reasoner
Seguin
Last 5: Reasoner 4-1 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Reasoner
2
1
Reasoner
Seguin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Reasoner
2
0
Reasoner
Seguin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Reasoner
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (1,642)
53.7% (8,071)
+2.0%
Power Play
56.9% (72)
55.9% (810)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (413)
49.3% (762)
-3.8%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +3.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Reasoner is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (766).
Reasoner shoots left. Seguin is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (6,798).
Home / Away
Reasoner
Seguin
Home
55.4% (1,032)
55.9% (4,759)
Away
52.4% (1,123)
51.4% (4,885)
By Period
Reasoner
Seguin
P1
53.1%
52.8%
P2
53.1%
53.3%
P3
55.3%
54.7%
OT
50.0%
54.7%
Final 5 min
52.6%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Reasoner
50.0%▼
52.5%
53.8%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2011 | 2 | 06:40 | Neutral | Marty Reasoner |
| Jan 26, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marty Reasoner |
| Jan 26, 2011 | 1 | 17:42 | Defensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Jan 26, 2011 | 1 | 06:27 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 18, 2010 | 2 | 06:40 | Defensive | Marty Reasoner |