Scouting Report
Marty Reasoner holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Reasoner on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Reasoner wins 57.3% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Reasoner 54.2% vs Seguin 49.6% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Reasoner 54.6%
Defensive zone
Reasoner 88.3%
Neutral zone
Reasoner 80.2%
Result
Marty Reasoner favored at 85.1%
85.1%
14.9%
Reasoner
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Reasoner
Seguin
Last 5: Reasoner 4-1 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Reasoner
2
1
Reasoner
Seguin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Reasoner
2
0
Reasoner
Seguin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Reasoner
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (923)
48.9% (274)
+7.2%
Power Play
56.1% (57)
53.8% (26)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (278)
50.0% (2)
-1.8%
On even strength, Reasoner has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Reasoner is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (454).
Reasoner shoots left. Seguin is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (231).
Home / Away
Reasoner
Seguin
Home
56.9% (627)
53.5% (129)
Away
52.2% (657)
46.6% (174)
By Period
Reasoner
Seguin
P1
52.9%
52.3%
P2
53.8%
48.1%
P3
57.1%
47.8%
OT
40.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.9%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Reasoner
50.0%▼
52.5%
54.5%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2011 | 2 | 06:40 | Neutral | Marty Reasoner |
| Jan 26, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marty Reasoner |
| Jan 26, 2011 | 1 | 17:42 | Defensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Jan 26, 2011 | 1 | 06:27 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 18, 2010 | 2 | 06:40 | Defensive | Marty Reasoner |