Scouting Report
Marty Reasoner holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Reasoner on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 14 meetings). Reasoner wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Reasoner 53.7% vs Smith 50.6% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Reasoner leads 19-7 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Reasoner 63.9%
Defensive zone
Reasoner 81.9%
Neutral zone
Reasoner 75.7%
Result
Marty Reasoner favored at 72.3%
72.3%
27.7%
Reasoner
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
7
(26 meetings)
19
7
Reasoner
Smith
Last 10: Reasoner 7-3 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Reasoner
7
2
Reasoner
Smith
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Reasoner
2
1
Reasoner
Smith
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Reasoner
10
4
Reasoner
Smith
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Reasoner
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (1,642)
51.6% (5,265)
+4.1%
Power Play
56.9% (72)
51.2% (342)
+5.7%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (413)
45.3% (985)
+0.2%
On power play, Reasoner has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Reasoner is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,389).
Reasoner shoots left. Smith is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (4,205).
Home / Away
Reasoner
Smith
Home
55.4% (1,032)
52.5% (3,289)
Away
52.4% (1,123)
48.7% (3,310)
By Period
Reasoner
Smith
P1
53.1%
49.9%
P2
53.1%
50.0%
P3
55.3%
51.9%
OT
50.0%
51.6%
Final 5 min
52.6%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Reasoner
50.0%▼
52.5%
53.8%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2013 | 3 | 19:51 | Neutral | Marty Reasoner |
| Mar 19, 2013 | 3 | 16:25 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Mar 3, 2013 | 2 | 13:42 | Offensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Apr 1, 2012 | 2 | 11:16 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Apr 1, 2012 | 1 | 14:49 | Defensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Feb 20, 2012 | 3 | 12:02 | Neutral | Marty Reasoner |
| Feb 20, 2012 | 3 | 02:11 | Offensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Feb 20, 2012 | 2 | 09:37 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Feb 20, 2012 | 2 | 02:42 | Neutral | Marty Reasoner |
| Feb 20, 2012 | 1 | 14:03 | Neutral | Marty Reasoner |
| Feb 20, 2012 | 1 | 01:35 | Neutral | Marty Reasoner |
| Mar 31, 2011 | 3 | 00:27 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Mar 31, 2011 | 3 | 00:17 | Defensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Mar 31, 2011 | 2 | 17:22 | Offensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Mar 31, 2011 | 2 | 14:30 | Neutral | Marty Reasoner |
| Mar 31, 2011 | 2 | 14:24 | Neutral | Marty Reasoner |
| Mar 31, 2011 | 1 | 01:34 | Offensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Mar 10, 2011 | 3 | 14:50 | Neutral | Marty Reasoner |
| Mar 10, 2011 | 3 | 08:01 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 10, 2011 | 3 | 03:13 | Defensive | Zack Smith |