Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.5% vs 53.9%). Look for Reasoner on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Reasoner wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Reasoner 54.2% vs Smith 53.1% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Reasoner leads 11-4 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Smith 52.1%
Defensive zone
Reasoner 76.1%
Neutral zone
Reasoner 66.8%
Result
Marty Reasoner favored at 60.5%
60.5%
39.5%
Reasoner
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
4
(15 meetings)
11
4
Reasoner
Smith
Last 10: Reasoner 7-3 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Reasoner
5
1
Reasoner
Smith
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Reasoner
Smith
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Reasoner
5
2
Reasoner
Smith
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Reasoner
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (923)
58.1% (322)
-2.0%
Power Play
56.1% (57)
36.8% (19)
+19.3%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (278)
32.6% (46)
+15.6%
On power play, Reasoner has a +19.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Reasoner is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (830).
Reasoner shoots left. Smith is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (234).
Home / Away
Reasoner
Smith
Home
56.9% (627)
58.8% (204)
Away
52.2% (657)
48.4% (184)
By Period
Reasoner
Smith
P1
52.9%
52.9%
P2
53.8%
56.3%
P3
57.1%
51.9%
OT
40.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
53.9%
45.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Reasoner
50.0%▼
52.5%
54.5%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2011 | 3 | 00:27 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Mar 31, 2011 | 3 | 00:17 | Defensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Mar 31, 2011 | 2 | 17:22 | Offensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Mar 31, 2011 | 2 | 14:30 | Neutral | Marty Reasoner |
| Mar 31, 2011 | 2 | 14:24 | Neutral | Marty Reasoner |
| Mar 31, 2011 | 1 | 01:34 | Offensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Mar 10, 2011 | 3 | 14:50 | Neutral | Marty Reasoner |
| Mar 10, 2011 | 3 | 08:01 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 10, 2011 | 3 | 03:13 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 10, 2011 | 1 | 19:56 | Neutral | Marty Reasoner |
| Feb 23, 2011 | 3 | 01:08 | Offensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Feb 23, 2011 | 2 | 10:18 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Feb 23, 2011 | 2 | 01:27 | Offensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Feb 23, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marty Reasoner |
| Oct 28, 2010 | 3 | 18:52 | Offensive | Marty Reasoner |