Scouting Report
Marty Reasoner holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Reasoner on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Reasoner wins 53.4% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Reasoner 52.5% vs Smith 49.0% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Reasoner 70.0%
Defensive zone
Reasoner 64.3%
Neutral zone
Reasoner 72.0%
Result
Marty Reasoner favored at 70.5%
70.5%
29.5%
Reasoner
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Reasoner
Smith
Last 8: Reasoner 6-2 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Reasoner
Smith
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Reasoner
1
0
Reasoner
Smith
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Reasoner
4
1
Reasoner
Smith
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Reasoner
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (475)
48.0% (761)
+7.2%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
70.4% (27)
-24.9%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (84)
49.5% (196)
-6.6%
On power play, Smith has a +24.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Reasoner is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (395).
Reasoner shoots left. Smith is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (690).
Home / Away
Reasoner
Smith
Home
54.8% (263)
49.9% (523)
Away
51.5% (309)
47.8% (467)
By Period
Reasoner
Smith
P1
55.7%
47.5%
P2
47.8%
50.4%
P3
54.9%
48.4%
OT
100.0%
53.8%
Final 5 min
48.4%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Reasoner
50.0%▼
52.5%
53.0%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2012 | 2 | 11:16 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Apr 1, 2012 | 1 | 14:49 | Defensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Feb 20, 2012 | 3 | 12:02 | Neutral | Marty Reasoner |
| Feb 20, 2012 | 3 | 02:11 | Offensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Feb 20, 2012 | 2 | 09:37 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Feb 20, 2012 | 2 | 02:42 | Neutral | Marty Reasoner |
| Feb 20, 2012 | 1 | 14:03 | Neutral | Marty Reasoner |
| Feb 20, 2012 | 1 | 01:35 | Neutral | Marty Reasoner |