Scouting Report
Mason Appleton holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Appleton on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Lindholm wins 42.3% vs right-shot opponents — Appleton shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 51.2% vs Appleton 50.4% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Appleton 57.9%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 58.7%
Neutral zone
Appleton 54.0%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Lindholm
Appleton
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Lindholm
Appleton
Last 5: Lindholm 2-3 Appleton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
1
0
Lindholm
Appleton
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Appleton
1
2
Lindholm
Appleton
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Appleton
0
1
Lindholm
Appleton
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Appleton
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (698)
54.5% (11)
-3.2%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (178)
50.0% (2)
-2.8%
On even strength, Appleton has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Appleton shoots right. Lindholm is 42.3% vs right-shot opponents (168).
Lindholm shoots right. Appleton is 71.4% vs right-shot opponents (7).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Appleton
Home
49.7% (471)
60.0% (10)
Away
52.9% (520)
33.3% (3)
By Period
Lindholm
Appleton
P1
53.8%
66.7%
P2
51.4%
50.0%
P3
49.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
51.4%
Appleton
40.0%▲
38.5%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2021 | 3 | 05:38 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 4, 2021 | 1 | 13:38 | Defensive | Mason Appleton |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 2 | 10:14 | Neutral | Mason Appleton |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 2 | 06:40 | Defensive | Mason Appleton |
| Feb 1, 2021 | 3 | 02:05 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |